1 – Major Humanitarian Crisis

  • Over 21 million people (including 16.7 million children and women) require urgent humanitarian assistance. Around 4.5 million are internally displaced, and Ethiopia is hosting more than one million refugees and asylum seekers.
    2025_UNICEF  2025-03_Addis Standard
  • Malnutrition has reached alarming levels:
    • 10 million people face food insecurity
    • 4 million women and children require treatment
    • Among them, 940,000 children under five suffer from acute malnutrition
      2025-04_WordFoodProgramme
  • The UN humanitarian program has a budget of USD 2 billion for 2025, but is facing a shortfall of nearly USD 500 million for the first half of the year.
    2025-03_Addis Standard

2 – International Funding in Free Fall

  • Foreign aid, which accounted for 12% of GDP ten years ago, has dropped to less than 4%, complicating the humanitarian response and increasing the vulnerability of millions.
    2025-07_Reuters
  • The WFP suspended treatment for 650,000 women and children due to lack of funding. Up to 3.6 million lives are at risk if additional funding is not secured by June.
    2025-04_WordFoodProgramm  2025-4_Reuters-Healthcaree
  • The temporary freeze of USAID aid by the United States paralyzed the distribution of food supplies stockpiled in Djibouti, impacting an estimated 16 million people.
    2025-02_The Guardian2025-02_The Guardian

3 – Political Tensions and Risk of Renewed Conflict in Tigray

  • Despite the 2022 Pretoria Peace Agreement, internal tensions within the TPLF have emerged between Debretsion Gebremichael and Getachew Reda. Debretsion now controls Adigrat, Adi-Gudem, and key infrastructure in Mekelle, raising fears of a renewed civil war.
    2025-03_vaticannews
  • On April 8, 2025, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed appointed Tadesse Worede as the new interim leader of Tigray, but this stabilization attempt remains fragile due to TPLF fragmentation.
    2025-04_reutersnew-leader-tigray
  • The federal government has called on the international community to intervene to prevent escalation, denouncing repeated ceasefire violations.
    2025-03_Ethiopian Tribune

4 – Escalating Regional Conflicts

  • In Amhara, mass arrests, extrajudicial killings, and media censorship have turned the region into a highly militarized zone.
    2025-07_AllAfrica.com
  • In Western Oromia, the conflict between government forces, the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), and the Fano paramilitary group has led to mass displacement, service disruptions, and school closures.
    2025-07_allAfrica.com

🇪🇹 In Brief

  • Peace remains fragile: internal tensions within the TPLF, continued foreign occupation of Tigray, and the risk of conflict with Eritrea.
  • The humanitarian crisis is worsening: millions of men, women, and children are at risk of famine and disease due to insufficient resources.
  • The international community remains under-mobilized, despite repeated calls from the UN, the Ethiopian government, and NGOs.